What Is AGI?
There is no universal definition — here's how each organization defines the finish line
OpenAI
— Sam AltmanSystems that outperform humans at most economically useful tasks.
Key Metric: Economic value — can AI replace human labor at scale?
Timeline: Late 2026 - early 2027
Google DeepMind
— Demis Hassabis & Shane LeggA system capable of exhibiting all the cognitive capabilities humans can, with versatility across domains.
Key Metric: Cognitive versatility — can it learn new skills with scarce data and surpass humans at useful work?
Timeline: 50% chance by 2028-2030
Anthropic
— Dario AmodeiAvoids the term 'AGI' — calls it 'a marketing term.' Describes it as 'a country of geniuses in the data center' or systems smarter than a Nobel Prize winner in most subjects.
Key Metric: Expert-level performance — Nobel laureate capability across many fields
Timeline: Late 2026 - early 2027
NVIDIA
— Jensen HuangAlready achieved — if AI can pass general tests like bar exams, medical exams, and CPA exams, that constitutes AGI.
Key Metric: Standardized testing — passing professional exams across domains
Timeline: Already here (March 2026)
AMI Labs (Yann LeCun)
— Yann LeCunRejects 'AGI' entirely — 'There is no such thing as general intelligence.' Prefers 'human-level AI' and believes it requires world models, not LLMs.
Key Metric: World understanding — can it build internal models of reality?
Timeline: Decades away with current approaches
Academic Consensus
— 2,778 AI Researchers (Survey)High-Level Machine Intelligence (HLMI) — when unaided machines can accomplish every task better and more cheaply than human workers.
Key Metric: Full economic substitution across all tasks
Timeline: 50% probability by 2040
Why Definitions Matter
When Jensen Huang says “we've achieved AGI” and Yann LeCun says “AGI makes no sense,” they're not necessarily disagreeing about AI capabilities — they're using different definitions. The lack of consensus means AGI milestones depend entirely on who you ask and what metric they use. This makes the “when will AGI arrive?” question fundamentally a question about definitions, not just technology.